Video Briefing

Nomad Capitalist: I Don’t Fear Left-Wing Governments (When THIS Happens)

Nov 27, 2024Video Briefing16:37Watch on YouTube

People often assume that a country with a left-leaning or economically interventionist government should automatically be avoided. A more practical approach is to separate tax residence, lifestyle use, investment exposure, and long-term country trajectory. A country can have high taxes or bad policies and still be useful as a part-time base, residence option, property market, or diversification play if the exposure is limited and structured correctly.

Tax residence matters more than headline tax rates

A country’s tax rates only matter directly if a person becomes tax resident there or owns taxable local assets.

A person can spend time in a high-tax country without entering its tax net if they do not meet the physical presence or other residency tests. The example given was Colombia. Colombia has high taxes, but someone spending limited time there, while maintaining a residence permit and possibly later citizenship, may still be taxed more like a tourist than a resident.

The same logic applies to visiting France. France has high taxes, but tourists are not taxed on worldwide income simply because they visit. In many cases, tourists may even receive VAT refunds when leaving.

In Colombia, the direct tax exposure discussed was limited to local assets:

  • a small property tax bill on a home, around $11,000 per year
  • possible wealth tax on local Colombian assets if holdings reach around $1 million, including home value, bank accounts, or stocks
  • no major exposure if wealth and companies are kept outside Colombia

The key is not to move all wealth into the country. A person may own a home, keep a small bank account for practical reasons, and enjoy lifestyle benefits without making the country the center of their financial life.

Part-time living versus full-time tax residence

A country can be useful part-time even if it would not be suitable full-time.

Colombia was described as a place that can provide:

  • lifestyle benefits
  • a home base for part of the year
  • geographic diversification
  • geopolitical diversification
  • currency diversification
  • a residence permit
  • possible future citizenship

But full-time residence would be different. Living there full-time could create tax obligations and deeper exposure to local politics, infrastructure problems, and policy risk.

Bogotá’s recent water issues were mentioned as an example of a lifestyle factor that could matter. Even if someone personally avoids the problem because their building has a solution, a city where other people lack reliable water can still become less attractive.

The practical point is that the country’s politics matter most when they begin to harm daily life, safety, stability, or the ability to operate.

Foreigners may be treated differently from locals

In some countries, wealthy foreigners may be left alone more than locals.

The argument is that local citizens are often more politically exposed because:

  • they vote
  • they operate local businesses
  • they employ locally
  • they are part of the domestic tax base
  • they are easier targets for regulation and taxation
  • they are involved in local political conflict

A foreigner with an offshore company, foreign income, and limited local assets may be less interesting to the local government, especially if the foreigner does not compete locally or become politically active.

This does not eliminate risk. But it changes the analysis.

The main risk for a foreigner is not always the headline political ideology. It is whether the government starts mismanaging the country badly enough to damage quality of life, create unrest, or threaten foreign assets.

Do not recreate home-country attachment abroad

Many people are emotionally attached to their birth country because they were conditioned from childhood to identify with it.

When choosing a new country, that attachment should be earned, not assumed. A person may like Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Malaysia, or another country, but they do not need to adopt its politics as their own identity.

A more detached approach can be healthier:

  • enjoy the country
  • build friendships
  • learn the language
  • understand the culture
  • contribute locally
  • avoid becoming consumed by local political battles
  • leave if the country stops working for your goals

This is different from being indifferent. It means choosing a place intentionally, rather than inheriting loyalty automatically.

Diversification means separating life, money, company, and citizenship

Many people assume that moving to a country means moving everything there. That is usually the wrong model.

A person can live in Mexico or Colombia without:

  • moving all their wealth there
  • creating a local company there
  • banking all their money there
  • investing only in local assets
  • becoming fully dependent on that country

The better model is diversification.

A person may live in one country, bank in another, hold citizenships elsewhere, own companies in separate jurisdictions, and invest globally. This reduces dependence on any one government.

This is why the politics of a lifestyle country may matter less if the person’s company, capital, and long-term planning are structured elsewhere.

Left-wing governments are not the only risk

Economically repressive left-wing policies can be destructive, especially when they involve high taxes, wealth taxes, bureaucracy, or restrictions on business.

But right-wing governments can also create problems. Some far-right policies may be more likely to discourage emigration, second passports, foreign options, or personal mobility.

The important question is not only whether a government is left-wing or right-wing. It is whether the country is moving in a positive long-term direction and whether the person’s exposure is properly limited.

A country with bad politics can still offer an opportunity if:

  • the person is not tax resident
  • exposure is limited
  • the asset is small relative to net worth
  • the investment is long-term
  • the country has strong underlying fundamentals
  • the person can leave if conditions deteriorate

Property risk is different from nationalization risk

Some investors worry that a government might confiscate foreign-owned property.

The argument made was that most governments understand the importance of foreign investment and are unlikely to target ordinary foreign-owned apartments. A government might take over an oil well or a strategic asset, but it is less likely to confiscate a foreigner’s two-bedroom apartment.

That does not mean there is no risk. But the risk should be assessed realistically.

Exposure to a small apartment, a residence permit, or a local bank account is different from moving major wealth into a country or investing in politically sensitive industries.

Turkey was used as an example. Someone buying a $400,000 apartment under a citizenship-by-investment program may worry about political risk, but the realistic risk of a minister simply taking the apartment was considered low.

Residence and property as “tunnels”

A residence permit, citizenship, or home can act as a tunnel into a country during a crisis.

During the pandemic, having a residence permit or home in a country made entry easier in some cases. Even if a person does not agree with that country’s politics, the practical benefit of access can matter.

A home can also reduce friction. If a person has to leave one region quickly, having a residence option and property elsewhere can make relocation easier than arriving with no plan, no address, and no local support.

This is part of the value of owning property or maintaining residence in more than one country.

Investing through political volatility

Political swings are common in emerging markets, especially in Latin America.

Mexico was discussed as an example. The peso fell under a left-wing president, but that could create an opportunity for long-term investors who believe in the country’s fundamentals. The approach described is not short-term speculation over weeks or months, but a 25-year investment view.

Latin America can be volatile because countries may swing between right-wing and left-wing governments. Even after a period of market-friendly policies, the political mood can shift again.

This makes some countries less attractive for full exposure, but not necessarily unsuitable for:

  • owning a home
  • spending time
  • holding residence
  • making selective investments
  • buying currency or assets during weakness
  • keeping a long-term optionality position

Emerging markets are judged differently from the West

Emerging countries are often judged more harshly than Western countries.

If there is unrest in San Salvador, it may be presented internationally as chaos. If there are riots or Molotov cocktails in Paris, it may be described as a normal protest over retirement age.

The argument is that Western “legacy brand” countries receive the benefit of the doubt, while emerging markets are treated as unstable even when similar or worse problems occur in developed countries.

This bias can create opportunity. If investors over-discount emerging markets because of political headlines, long-term buyers may find attractive entry points.

Venezuela as an extreme example

Venezuela was discussed as a country with politics the speaker does not support, but also as a reminder that conditions on the ground can be more nuanced than the outside narrative suggests.

Some people living there report that certain areas are safe, that wealthy neighborhoods still function, and that property can be very affordable. The claim was not that Venezuela is a good political model or broadly stable, but that even troubled countries can have pockets where people live well.

This supports the broader point: the analysis should be practical, not ideological. A person may disagree with a country’s government and still see a potential lifestyle, property, or diversification angle if the risk is priced correctly.

Colombia versus Venezuela risk

One concern raised was whether Colombia could become another Venezuela.

The view expressed was that Colombia remains a long-term lifestyle and business hub, though it may face bumps along the way. If Colombia truly became unlivable or followed a Venezuela-style path, then the practical response would be to spend less time there or leave.

The key is not emotional loyalty. It is optionality.

A person with multiple residence permits, homes, citizenships, bank accounts, and investment options can move if a country deteriorates.

Finding the next “Singapore”

The broader strategy is to identify countries that may become the “next Singapore” of a specific sector.

There may not be one single new Singapore that dominates everything. Instead, there may be:

  • the Singapore of AI
  • the Singapore of blockchain
  • the Singapore of finance
  • the Singapore of a specific region or industry
  • the Singapore of manufacturing
  • the Singapore of lifestyle residence

Some bets will fail. Others may work. The goal is to be diversified across rising countries and sectors instead of assuming that the US, UK, or other legacy Western countries can be fixed.

The argument is that many problems in the US and UK are too entrenched, even if a politician with the right ideas is elected. By contrast, some emerging countries may have better long-term fundamentals despite messy politics.

When left-leaning countries are acceptable

A left-leaning or high-tax country can still be acceptable if:

  • the person is not tax resident there
  • the person has limited local assets
  • the country offers lifestyle value
  • the country provides residence or citizenship optionality
  • local exposure is small relative to total wealth
  • the country is useful geographically or geopolitically
  • long-term fundamentals remain attractive
  • the person can leave if conditions worsen

A left-leaning country becomes less acceptable if:

  • policies create unrest
  • infrastructure fails
  • safety deteriorates
  • taxes become confiscatory for foreign residents
  • capital controls trap money
  • foreign-owned assets become politically targeted
  • lifestyle quality falls sharply
  • the country’s long-term trajectory turns negative

Practical takeaway

The decision to spend time, buy property, or hold residence in a country should not be based only on whether the government is left-wing or right-wing.

The better questions are:

  • Will I become tax resident?
  • What local assets will be exposed?
  • Can I leave if politics deteriorate?
  • Is the property or residence useful as a tunnel or backup?
  • Does the country have long-term fundamentals?
  • Is the investment small enough relative to total wealth?
  • Are my company, banking, and capital diversified elsewhere?
  • Is the lifestyle worth the limited exposure?

For a globally diversified person, a high-tax or left-leaning country can still make sense as a part-time lifestyle base, residence option, or long-term optionality play. The key is to avoid putting everything in one basket and to stay detached enough to leave when the country stops serving its purpose.