Video Briefing

Nomad Capitalist: Trump: Wealth Will Move Overseas

Nov 9, 2021Video Briefing10:13Watch on YouTube

The United States is debating a new “billionaire tax” that would target the ultra‑wealthy through either a wealth tax or an unrealized capital‑gains levy. While the proposals differ in wording, the core idea is to raise revenue by taxing assets that have not yet been sold.

Wealth‑tax proposals vs. unrealized‑gains tax

  • Wealth tax – a recurring levy on the net value of an individual’s assets (real estate, securities, business holdings). Historically, European nations that tried such taxes (France, Spain, Norway, Sweden) have repealed them, citing administrative complexity and capital flight.
  • Unrealized‑gains tax – a one‑time or periodic tax on the increase in value of assets that have not been sold. Critics argue this is effectively a wealth tax because it taxes wealth without a cash transaction.

Both approaches have faced opposition in Congress, with concerns that they could drive high‑net‑worth individuals and corporations to relocate.

Why relocation becomes attractive

  1. Lower or no capital‑gains tax – Some jurisdictions do not tax capital gains at all, making them appealing for investors with large unrealized portfolios.
  2. No dividend tax – Countries that exempt dividend income can reduce the overall tax burden for owners of dividend‑paying stocks.
  3. Absence of state‑level income tax – In the U.S., state taxes can add a significant layer of liability; moving to a state like Florida (which has no personal income tax) or to a foreign jurisdiction eliminates that layer.
  4. Targeted tax incentives – Programs such as digital‑nomad visas, startup visas, and “citizenship‑by‑investment” schemes offer residency or citizenship in exchange for business activity, hiring, or investment.

Examples of tax‑friendly jurisdictions

  • Puerto Rico (U.S. territory) – Offers Act 60 (formerly Acts 20/22) which provides a 0 % tax on long‑term capital gains for qualifying residents who relocate and meet presence requirements.
  • Florida, Texas, Nevada (U.S. states) – No personal income tax; attractive for high‑income earners seeking to avoid state tax on wages and investment income.
  • United Arab Emirates – No personal income tax, no capital‑gains tax, and a growing ecosystem of free‑zone companies.
  • Portugal – The Non‑Habitual Resident (NHR) regime grants a flat 20 % tax on certain Portuguese‑sourced income and exempts many foreign‑sourced dividends and capital gains for ten years.
  • Georgia (country) – Offers a “Small Business” tax regime with a flat 1 % tax on turnover and no tax on foreign‑sourced income for qualifying residents.
  • Digital‑nomad visas – Countries such as Estonia, Barbados, and Croatia provide visas that allow remote workers to reside tax‑efficiently while maintaining employment abroad.

Practical considerations for relocating

  • Residency requirements – Most programs demand a minimum number of days spent in the jurisdiction (often 183 days per year) and proof of a primary home.
  • Tax‑home definition – The U.S. still taxes worldwide income of its citizens and green‑card holders, so relinquishing citizenship or long‑term residency may be necessary to avoid double taxation.
  • Asset‑transfer rules – Moving assets can trigger exit taxes (e.g., the U.S. “expatriation tax” on net worth above a threshold) and may require careful structuring.
  • Political stability and legal certainty – Jurisdictions that have recently introduced tax incentives may revise or repeal them; due diligence on legislative history is essential.
  • Lifestyle and infrastructure – Beyond taxes, factors such as healthcare, education, language, and quality of life influence the decision.

Risks of a mass exodus

  • Revenue shortfalls – If a significant share of high‑net‑worth individuals leave, federal and state budgets could face larger deficits, potentially prompting further tax reforms.
  • Brain drain – The loss of entrepreneurs, investors, and skilled professionals can diminish innovation and economic dynamism in the U.S.
  • Policy backlash – Perceived “tax flight” may fuel political pressure for stricter anti‑avoidance rules, including tighter definitions of residency and expanded reporting requirements (e.g., FATCA, CRS).

Decision criteria

When evaluating whether to relocate, high‑net‑worth individuals typically weigh:

  1. Effective tax rate on all income streams (salary, dividends, capital gains, inheritance).
  2. Compliance burden – complexity of filing, reporting, and maintaining residency status.
  3. Legal protection – strength of property rights, contract enforcement, and privacy laws.
  4. Quality of life – cost of living, safety, healthcare, education, and cultural fit.
  5. Future policy risk – likelihood of tax policy changes that could erode current benefits.

In summary, the debate over a U.S. billionaire or wealth tax is prompting many affluent individuals and businesses to explore jurisdictions with lower tax burdens and more favorable residency regimes. While the financial incentives are clear, the decision involves a balance of tax efficiency, legal considerations, and personal lifestyle preferences.