Video Briefing

Nomad Capitalist: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful #QuarantineWeek

Mar 23, 2020Video Briefing14:07Watch on YouTube

The current market turbulence offers a rare chance to reassess investment strategies, especially for those willing to look beyond the usual “greedy‑when‑others‑are‑fearful” mindset. While many are pulling back, the slowdown creates opportunities in undervalued assets, alternative currencies, and emerging‑market real estate.

Embrace the “fearful‑when‑others‑are‑greedy” approach

  • Avoid buying at the peak – When markets surge, prices often become inflated. Waiting for a pull‑back can protect against buying a “falling knife.”
  • Seek assets with solid fundamentals – Look for properties or businesses that can generate steady yields and have growth potential even after a downturn.

Where to find value now

Region Why it’s attractive Typical yields / price points
Cambodia & Georgia Low local greed, still‑developing economies, rising traffic and corporate activity. Real‑estate yields can reach low‑double‑digit percentages.
Colombia Peso weakening (≈ 4,000 COP/USD) creates cheap land; many locations trade around $1,000 USD per square meter. Rental yields often in the low double digits; potential for citizenship through investment.
Turkey (Istanbul) Market already beaten down, long‑term demand for a global city. Property prices have fallen sharply; upside potential as confidence returns.
Singapore, Canada, Australia Safe‑haven currencies; assets priced lower due to global risk aversion. Higher‑quality assets remain expensive, but currency diversification can hedge USD exposure.

Practical steps for investors

  1. Maintain a cash buffer – A stable cash position reduces the impact of market swings and allows you to act when opportunities arise.
  2. Diversify geographically – Spread investments across multiple countries to avoid concentration risk. Real‑estate, businesses, and currencies each respond differently to global shocks.
  3. Consider currency plays – With the US dollar perceived as a safe haven, other currencies (SGD, CAD, AUD) have softened, creating buying opportunities for future appreciation.
  4. Target high‑yield assets – Suburban strip malls, small‑scale retail spaces, or multi‑family rentals can still deliver 3–4 % yields in many markets, though competition is rising.
  5. Focus on long‑term fundamentals – Prioritize assets that can generate cash flow and have intrinsic value (e.g., location, demographic trends) rather than speculative price spikes.

Mindset and business resilience

  • Value creation over hype – Businesses that continue delivering value will survive the “cleansing” phase.
  • Adaptability – Use slower periods to develop new product lines, improve online presence, or explore alternative markets.
  • Avoid panic‑driven decisions – Limit exposure to sensational news feeds; instead, rely on data and measured analysis.

Risks to watch

  • Currency volatility – Even a modest move (e.g., COP from 4,000 to 4,100 COP/USD) can feel significant, but the impact on a well‑diversified portfolio is limited.
  • Local regulatory changes – Some emerging markets may alter property ownership rules or tax regimes; stay informed before committing capital.
  • Liquidity constraints – Real‑estate in less‑liquid markets can take longer to sell; ensure you have sufficient reserves to cover holding costs.

Bottom line

The pandemic‑induced slowdown is not a permanent market collapse but a cyclical correction. Investors who keep cash on hand, diversify across geographies and currencies, and target assets with strong cash‑flow potential can position themselves to benefit when confidence returns. The key is to act when others are fearful, but to do so with disciplined research rather than impulsive greed.