Video Briefing

Nomad Capitalist: Life Amid the Coronavirus, Panic, and Quarantine #QuarantineWeek

Mar 18, 2020Video Briefing15:53Watch on YouTube

The COVID‑19 outbreak has sparked panic buying and market volatility in many Western economies, yet the experience in Malaysia—and other emerging markets—has been markedly calmer. This contrast offers insight into how investors can protect and position their assets during periods of global uncertainty.

How Malaysia is coping

  • Government restrictions: The authorities announced a two‑week shutdown of non‑essential activities, mirroring measures in other countries.
  • Retail environment: Grocery stores remain open. While some items such as rice and lower‑shelf eggs saw increased demand, shelves were not emptied and queues were short—typically a few minutes rather than hours.
  • Public behavior: Residents are stockpiling staples but there is no widespread hoarding or confrontations. The overall atmosphere is orderly, with no reports of toilet‑paper shortages or chaotic lines.

Comparison with the West

  • In cities like Los Angeles and Chicago, panic buying has led to long lines, empty shelves, and a surge in toilet‑paper purchases.
  • Media coverage in the United States and Europe emphasizes a “panic” narrative, whereas local Malaysian news placed the virus on a lower‑profile page behind topics such as minimum‑wage debates.
  • The Western response has also included a rapid rise in discussions about lockdowns, job security, and potential economic collapse, fueling fear among investors.

Investment implications

Real‑estate opportunities

  • Frontier markets such as Malaysia, Montenegro, and Georgia have seen limited case numbers and relatively stable local economies.
  • Softening currencies and reduced demand create potential bargains for investors willing to purchase property in well‑located, intrinsically valuable assets.
  • In contrast, many Western markets are experiencing heightened volatility, making it harder to find undervalued real‑estate deals.

Currency and safe‑haven assets

  • The U.S. dollar has strengthened against most other currencies; the Colombian peso, for example, lost nearly 20 % of its value, presenting a buying opportunity for assets priced in that currency.
  • Traditional safe havens—gold, silver, and Bitcoin—have shown mixed performance: gold and silver spreads are tight due to high demand, while Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline.
  • Diversifying away from a single national currency reduces exposure to potential banking restrictions or capital controls, as illustrated by a Turkish case where property sales were halted by government orders.

Cash and liquidity

  • Holding cash reserves provides flexibility when markets tighten. In Malaysia, many locals have already stockpiled cash, which supports purchasing power when other assets become discounted.
  • Entrepreneurs and investors with liquid capital can take advantage of “panic‑driven” price drops, buying assets that retain intrinsic value and long‑term growth potential.

Practical steps for investors

  1. Assess residency and travel restrictions – Ensure you can remain in a jurisdiction that allows you to manage assets without sudden entry bans.
  2. Maintain a cash buffer – Keep enough liquid funds to cover living expenses and to act quickly on investment opportunities.
  3. Diversify across currencies and jurisdictions – Allocate a portion of your portfolio to stable currencies (e.g., USD) and to assets in countries with lower pandemic impact.
  4. Target undervalued real‑estate – Look for properties in emerging markets where the currency has weakened but the underlying asset retains long‑term value.
  5. Monitor safe‑haven markets – Track gold, silver, and crypto price movements; consider buying when spreads tighten and demand spikes.
  6. Stay informed on local policies – Follow government announcements on lockdowns, border closures, and financial regulations to anticipate liquidity constraints.

Outlook

While the pandemic continues to affect global supply chains and consumer confidence, the measured response in Malaysia and similar markets suggests that panic‑driven price collapses may be limited. Investors who maintain diversified holdings, keep cash reserves, and seek opportunities in undervalued frontier assets can position themselves to weather the current volatility and benefit from any subsequent market recovery.