Video Briefing

Millionaire Migrant: Why I’m No Longer Investing in Spain

Jun 3, 2025Video Briefing11:31Watch on YouTube

Spain is poised to introduce a series of aggressive housing measures aimed at curbing soaring property prices and protecting tenants. The centerpiece is a 100 % tax on the value of properties bought by non‑EU residents, effectively doubling the purchase cost. The proposal is part of a broader package that includes rental‑income incentives, higher profit taxes, and new VAT rules for short‑term rentals.

100 % tax on non‑EU property purchases

  • The tax is calculated on the full market value of the property, not on the usual capital‑gains or transfer tax.
  • Example: a €300,000 apartment could incur a total tax bill of €300,000, bringing the out‑of‑pocket cost to €600,000.
  • The measure targets foreign buyers who have been driving up demand in a market where housing prices have risen 44 % and rents have climbed 11–12 % in 2024.

Additional measures in the housing reform package

Measure Target Key Details
Rental‑income tax deduction Landlords who charge rent below a government‑set ceiling 100 % deduction → 0 % income tax on qualifying rental income.
Higher tax on retained profits Investors who keep profits in the property Rate rises from 15 % to 25 %. An exemption applies if ≥ 60 % of a portfolio is classified as affordable rentals, reducing the rate by 50–100 %.
21 % VAT on short‑term rentals Rentals of ≤ 30 days (e.g., Airbnb) Previously only hotels paid VAT; now short‑term rentals will be taxed at the standard 21 % rate.
Freeze on short‑term rental permits New permits in Madrid, Málaga, Barcelona These three cities, most affected by tourism, will see a temporary halt on new short‑term rental licences.

Why the reforms are being introduced

  • Housing shortage: Spain builds roughly 100,000 homes per year but needs about 600,000 to meet demand (≈ 10 % of the population).
  • Post‑2008 crisis legacy: The 2008 financial crisis left Spain among the “PIIGS” economies, prompting the now‑defunct Spanish Golden Visa that attracted foreign investors but also contributed to a supply‑side squeeze.
  • COVID‑19 disruptions: Construction slowdowns, higher material costs, and labor shortages reduced new‑build activity.
  • Bureaucratic hurdles: Lengthy planning permissions have discouraged developers, further limiting housing supply.

International context

  • Portugal: Local leasing legislation (Aluguel Local) regulates rentals in specific buildings.
  • France: Implements rent caps in major cities, taxes on vacant homes, and strict Airbnb restrictions.
  • Germany: Enforces strong rent controls, creating a tenant‑heavy market but limiting home‑ownership growth.

These examples show a broader European trend toward tighter regulation of both the rental market and foreign property investment.

Potential impact

  • Foreign investors: The 100 % tax and higher profit taxes could make Spain considerably less attractive for non‑EU buyers, especially those focused on short‑term rental yields.
  • Airbnb operators: The new VAT and permit freeze directly target the short‑term rental sector, likely reducing profitability and new listings.
  • Local tenants: Rental‑income deductions and affordable‑rental incentives aim to lower rents, though the effectiveness will depend on enforcement and the proportion of properties qualifying as “affordable.”
  • Housing market dynamics: If the measures pass, demand from foreign buyers may drop, potentially stabilising or lowering property prices, while supply constraints could persist without additional construction incentives.

Next steps for stakeholders

  1. Monitor parliamentary progress: The package still requires approval; political opposition could modify or delay implementation.
  2. Assess tax exposure: Investors should calculate the total cost of acquisition, including the 100 % tax, and model cash‑flow impacts under the new rental‑income and profit‑tax rules.
  3. Consider alternative markets: Options such as Greece’s Golden Visa, Malta’s residency programs, or Northern Cyprus’s lower‑priced coastal properties may become more competitive.
  4. Explore digital‑nomad opportunities: Spain’s digital‑nomad visa remains attractive for remote workers, offering a potential non‑investment pathway to residency.

The reforms reflect Spain’s attempt to balance a booming tourism‑driven rental market with the housing needs of its own citizens. Their ultimate success will hinge on legislative finalisation, enforcement, and the broader European policy environment.