Video Briefing

Nomad Capitalist: A New Terrible Social Security Tax Plan

Nov 2, 2021Video Briefing11:59Watch on YouTube

The U.S. House is moving forward with the Social Security 2100 Act, a reform package aimed at extending the program’s solvency while reshaping benefits and payroll taxes. The legislation targets the looming depletion of the Social Security trust fund and introduces several changes that will disproportionately affect high‑income earners.

Background

  • The Social Security Administration projects that the trust fund will run out of reserves by 2034, leaving only about 78 % of promised benefits payable.
  • The bill seeks to push the depletion date out to 2038, buying Congress additional time to devise a long‑term fix.

Core Provisions

Provision Detail
Higher minimum benefit Sets a larger guaranteed benefit for low‑income workers.
Benefit boost for public‑sector retirees Proposes reductions for public‑sector workers and their spouses who also receive pension income.
Payroll‑tax rate Earlier drafts called for a gradual increase of the combined employee‑employer Social Security tax from the current 6.2 % to 7.4 % over roughly 20 years. The latest version appears to have dropped the rate hike.
Wage‑base expansion Raises the taxable earnings cap from $147,000 (2022) to $400,000. Earnings above this threshold would be subject to Social Security tax.
Self‑employment impact Self‑employed individuals pay both shares, meaning 12.4 % of earnings above $400 k would be taxed.
Public‑worker benefit adjustments Introduces rules that could lower benefits for certain public‑sector retirees and widows/widowers with pension income.

How High Earners Are Affected

  • Current cap: Only wages up to $147 k are subject to the 6.2 % employee (and 6.2 % employer) tax.
  • Proposed cap: All wages up to $400 k become taxable, adding $253 k of additional taxable income for a typical high earner.
  • Self‑employed example: On $10 million of annual income, the extra Social Security tax could amount to roughly $9.6 million (12.4 % on $9.6 million above the $400 k threshold).
  • The change effectively eliminates the “tax ceiling” that high‑income workers have relied on for decades.

Practical Considerations

  • Tax planning – High earners may explore restructuring compensation (e.g., increasing non‑wage benefits, equity‑based pay, or deferred compensation) to reduce taxable wages.
  • Entity selection – Using corporations or foreign entities could shift income away from wage‑subject payroll taxes, though U.S. citizens and residents remain subject to the tax on earned wages.
  • Geographic diversification – Some individuals consider relocating to jurisdictions with lower payroll taxes or more favorable social‑security systems (e.g., certain European countries), though this involves immigration, residency, and tax‑compliance complexities.
  • Retirement strategy – Anticipating reduced benefits for public‑sector retirees may prompt additional private savings or alternative retirement accounts.

Risks and Caveats

  • The bill’s exact language is still evolving; the payroll‑rate increase has been removed in the latest draft, but the wage‑base expansion remains.
  • Legislative support is mixed; while the proposal is framed to attract bipartisan backing, future amendments could alter key provisions.
  • Any restructuring to avoid payroll taxes must comply with IRS rules on reasonable compensation and anti‑avoidance regulations.
  • Relocating for tax purposes may trigger exit taxes, loss of U.S. residency benefits, and exposure to foreign tax regimes.

Bottom line: If the Social Security 2100 Act passes with the proposed wage‑base increase, high‑income earners could see a substantial rise in payroll taxes, effectively erasing the long‑standing $147 k cap. Careful tax planning and, for some, consideration of residency options will be essential to mitigate the impact.